Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.002431 0.002577 0.002733 0.002913 0.003116 0.003341 0.003609
2025-03-23 0.002242 0.002447 0.002678 0.002963 0.003310 0.003726 0.004277
2025-03-30 0.002072 0.002305 0.002580 0.002934 0.003390 0.003977 0.004829
2025-04-06 0.001918 0.002163 0.002458 0.002852 0.003382 0.004102 0.005231
2025-04-13 0.001814 0.002069 0.002384 0.002816 0.003420 0.004286 0.005752
2025-04-20 0.001679 0.001926 0.002234 0.002662 0.003274 0.004176 0.005771
2025-04-27 0.001622 0.001876 0.002199 0.002659 0.003338 0.004388 0.006392
2025-05-04 0.001598 0.001866 0.002215 0.002726 0.003510 0.004797 0.007531
2025-05-11 0.001553 0.001826 0.002186 0.002724 0.003574 0.005035 0.008421
2025-05-18 0.001539 0.001826 0.002212 0.002804 0.003777 0.005564 0.010325
2025-05-25 0.001496 0.001784 0.002175 0.002785 0.003811 0.005775 0.011532
2025-06-01 0.001446 0.001730 0.002119 0.002731 0.003779 0.005845 0.012348
2025-06-08 0.001427 0.001721 0.002129 0.002786 0.003956 0.006429 0.015883
2025-06-15 0.001405 0.001705 0.002128 0.002824 0.004110 0.007026 0.021040
2025-06-22 0.001365 0.001664 0.002088 0.002795 0.004129 0.007293 0.025383
2025-06-29 0.001317 0.001608 0.002023 0.002719 0.004047 0.007267 0.027548
2025-07-06 0.001283 0.001571 0.001984 0.002686 0.004047 0.007477 0.033523
2025-07-13 0.001224 0.001496 0.001886 0.002545 0.003811 0.006944 0.028563
2025-07-20 0.001202 0.001475 0.001869 0.002542 0.003866 0.007300 0.038029
2025-07-27 0.001197 0.001477 0.001888 0.002603 0.004065 0.008198 0.082473
2025-08-03 0.001177 0.001458 0.001872 0.002602 0.004125 0.008663 0.191485
2025-08-10 0.001175 0.001464 0.001896 0.002675 0.004368 0.009985 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001154 0.001441 0.001872 0.002657 0.004392 0.010423 NaN